Central Michigan
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 74.3981Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 0-25 213 A Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 6-19 215 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 2-25 220 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 6-14 228 A Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 9-15 306 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 3-23 308 A Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 13- 9 314 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 7- 8 317 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 6-15 319 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 1-22 328 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 14- 7 404 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 9-14 406 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 4-15 411 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 7- 6 418 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 15- 9 425 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 3-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Notre Dame 0-25 -25 -20 0.00
213 A Marquette 6-19 -13 -13 -0.03
215 A Northwestern 2-25 -23 -24 0.00
220 A Cincinnati 6-14 -8 -10 1.93
228 A Lindenwood 9-15 -6 -4 -1.90
306 A Michigan 3-23 -20 -21 0.00
308 A Butler 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.03
314 H Robert Morris 7- 8 -1 0 -1.32
317 A Massachusetts-Lowell 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.85
319 A Massachusetts 1-22 -21 -16 0.00
328 H Detroit Mercy 14- 7 7 10 - -2.81
404 A Eastern Michigan 9-14 -5 -6 1.48
406 H Southern California 4-15 -11 -11 -0.24
411 A Youngstown State 7- 6 1 1 0.25
418 A Kent State 15- 9 6 -3 +++ 8.83
425 H Akron 3-16 -13 -5 --- -8.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Akron 3-16 -13 -5 --- -8.37 317 A Massachusetts-Lowell 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.85 328 H Detroit Mercy 14- 7 7 10 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Kent State 15- 9 6 -3 +++ 8.83 308 A Butler 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 0-25 -6.52 33.65 1.37 1.08 -2.79
3 A Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 6-19 -13.90 26.27 1.37 1.08 -6.78
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 2-25 -2.98 37.18 1.37 1.08 -0.88
3 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 6-14 -16.93 23.23 1.37 1.08 -8.43
3 A Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 9-15 -22.77 17.40 1.37 1.08 -11.59
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 3-23 -5.98 34.19 1.37 1.08 -2.50
3 A Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 13- 9 -25.84 14.33 1.37 1.08 33.99
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 7- 8 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 1.08 -13.98
3 A Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 6-15 -20.72 19.44 1.37 1.08 -10.48
3 A Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 1-22 -10.43 29.74 1.37 1.08 -4.91
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 14- 7 -33.94 6.23 -1.37 1.08 10.52
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 9-14 -20.39 19.78 1.37 1.08 -10.30
3 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 4-15 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 1.08 -7.98
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 7- 6 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.08 30.14
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 15- 9 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.08 37.88
3 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 3-16 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 1.08 -11.30
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20.63
|
winning pts = 112.5316 losing points = -91.9033
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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